In
the last few years, we have seen a string of economic crises
which have brought with them deep political crises across
Latin America.
In Argentina following the default of the servicing of the
countrys debt, the Argentine Government froze all bank
accounts in the country. The Gross Domestic Product of the
once rich country plummeted by fifteen percent over two years.
Close to sixty percent of the population was living under
the poverty line in 2002 and there were cases of malnutrition
in the food producing country. In a matter of two weeks, the
country saw five presidents until a populist leader came to
power with only twenty-two percent of the nations support.
Protests against international financial institutions and
multinational corporations continue as a new agreement of
repaying the debt (with an average 35 cents on the dollar
being paid out) was worked out in April 2005. The country
is by no means out of the financial doghouse.
Likewise, Ecuador has seen its share of financial scandals,
political repression, street protests and threats to democratic
governance. Since 1996, the country has had nine presidents.
In 1997, Ecuadors Congress replaced President Abdala
Bucaram when he was deemed mentally unfit to hold office.
He was replaced with Fabian Alarcon, who had served previously
as president of the Congress. Alarcons successor Jamil
Mahuad, a former mayor of Quito, was hounded by accusations
of corruption. During Mahuads administration, a major
Ecuadorian bank, Banco Filambanco went bankrupt as three billion
dollars of depositors money went missing. Mahuads
Attorney-General, Mariana Yepez, was accused of slowing down
pace of the investigation into the missing funds. A deep economic
crisis plagued the Andean nation as the cost of living increased
far more than the average wage paid. Investment slowed down
and credit was near impossible to obtain by ordinary Ecuadorians.
Street protests ensued.
In 2000, a coup led by Lucio Gutierrez, a military leader
at the time, forced out Mahuad, and Vice President Gustavo
Noboa took over the presidency. Noboa was succeeded in 2003
by Lucio Gutierrez,. The ex-army colonel was not successful
then but campaigned a few years later on an anti-corruption
theme.
Since taking office in January 2003 after his democratic election,
Gutierrez administration enjoyed a spike in higher oil
prices, which accounts for 40 percent of Ecuador's exports
and a quarter of its public-sector revenues. Notwithstanding
this economic boon, the government has done little to limit
vulnerability to price swings and financial crises that routinely
affect the equatorial countrys 13 million inhabitants.
In late 2004, Gutierrez sacked 27 of 31 judges on Ecuadors
Supreme Court, attempted to name his own people as replacements
and faced increasingly violent public protests. April 2005,
Gutierrez was voted out of office by the countrys Congress
and replaced with Vice-President Alfredo Palacio. The beleaguered
leader was granted asylum in Brazil.
In both Argentina and Ecuador, banking scandals and poor oversight
by government regulators, have contributed to continued economic
crises. Political upheaval and violence have resulted. There
is clearly a connection between a weak banking sector and
political instability. Economic reforms have not brought about
widespread benefits
The economic benefits of globalization have not been enjoyed
throughout Latin American societies.
According to one study:
"In
1900, the Latin American income level was well above that
in Asia and stood at 41 percent of the OECD core. In 1950,
Latin American gross domestic product (GDP) per capita was
45 percent of the OECD core level and more than three times
the Asian average. But by the 1980s Latin America had fallen
back to less than one-third the OECD level and was being approached
and overtaken by parts of Asia. This twentieth-century relative
retardation and slump in living standards is Latin Americas
burden of history and remains a central, burning issue in
the regions political, social, and economic landscape."
Alan
M. Taylor, Latin America and Foreign Capital in the Twentieth
Century: Economics, Politics, and Institutional Change, in
POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN LATIN AMERICA
121, 125 (Stephen Haber ed., 2000).
For close to two centuries, this story has been the same:
Allies of the political elite enjoy cheap capital while the
majority of businesses, small and large, remain underfunded
or not funded at all.
"[W]e continually forget that global capitalism has been
tried before. In Latin America, for example, reforms directed
at creating capitalist systems have been tried at least four
times since independence from Spain in the 1820s. Each time,
after the initial euphoria, Latin Americans swung back from
capitalist and market economy policies."
HERNANDO
DE SOTO, THE MYSTERY OF CAPITAL: WHY CAPITALISM TRIUMPHS IN
THE WEST AND FAILS EVERYWHERE ELSE 3 (2000).
Instead
of providing capital to the needy and hungry in order to make
their lives better, cheap credit goes to the friends of the
political class who get preferential treatment while the efficient
provision of capital is hindered.
"In the case of crony capitalism, owners of companies
receive credit and may expand because their size is a political
asset (to big to fail). They may misallocate in the countrys
capital to be close to those they wish to influence regardless
of cost; since the owners receive subsidized credit regardless
of the prospective real returns, cronies can persist in business
even when their activities are no longer economic; and since
they receive subsidized credit, they in effect have soft budget
constraints."
Anne
O. Krueger, Why Crony Capitalism is Bad for Economic Growth,
in CRONY CAPITALISM AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN LATIN AMERICA,
(Stephen Haber, editor) 22 (2002).
The twin of efficient provision of capital to foster economic
growth is a dearth of democratic rule:
"Crony capitalism is not solely an economic phenomenon.
It is a political creation and has political consequences.
Crony systems require that special economic entitlements then
allow asset holders to extract rents from other members of
society."
Stephen
Haber, Introduction: The Political Economy of Crony Capitalism
in CRONY CAPITALISM AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN LATIN AMERICA,
(Stephen Haber, editor) xviii (2002).
In
the last several years, we have witnessed further economic
hardship as the benefits that were predicted to result from
globalization failed to materialize. According to the World
Bank and the UN Economic Commission for Latin America and
the Caribbean (ECLAC), the regions GDP has shrunk by
approximately 0.8% in 2002. This is the worst economic performance
since 1983, a time of massive bond repayment defaults across
the region. Inflation has edged up after eight years of steady
decline. Mediocre economic performance has caused per capita
income in LAC countries to decline significantly since 1998
while poverty has increased. Roughly 44% of Latin Americans
are now poorer--up from 40% in 1999, while 20% suffer extreme
poverty. Unemployment has risen to more than 9%, higher than
the 1980s level. Latin Americas middle class has clearly
shrunk.
While economic growth did result in some cases, it came at
a large expense for the lower socio-economic classes. The
reforms of the mid-1990s failed to reduce poverty, marginalized
the already impoverished working classes, and reduced government
provided social benefits as part of the austerity measures
mandated by the International Monetary Fund and other financial
institutions.
The poor has been further marginalized as jobs disappeared
and investment in the economy withdrew. With continued urbanization,
fragmentation of the family, and informal employment in the
gray economy, life has not improved for the majority of Latin
Americans in the last decade. The process of privatization
saw further corruption as essential public services were sold
to the crony capitalist class, impunity for the protected
class has been further entrenched, and the cost of most basic
services (water, electricity, public transportation, basic
food staples) has increased. At the same time, public security
has decreased with a rising crime rate, racial and gender
discrimination has intensified, and public trust in the law
enforcement authorities and confidence in the judicial system
have diminished. Is it any wonder that according to a recent
poll undertaken by The Economist, Latinbarómetro, a
Chilean polling organization, only a bare majority of Latin
Americas remain committed to democracy?
The
stubborn survival of frustrated democrats, ECONOMIST, Oct.
30, 2003, at 18.
The Need for a Strong Banking Sector
One of the major reasons for this disappointing economic
history is the lack of capital markets in the region. A
2004 report from the Inter-American Development Bank stated:
"[S]trong capital markets have not developed in Latin
American countries, meaning the main source of external
financing for firms is bank credit. Given few alternative
sources of financing, the development and stability of the
banking sector is crucial for achieving stable economic
growth. When capital markets are shallow, banks bear most
of the burden of searching for safe and profitable investment
projects in need of capital, and of supplying them that
capital."
Inter-American
Development Bank Research Department, The Balance on Banking
in Latin America, IDEAS FOR DEVELOPMENT IN THE AMERICAS
("IDEA"), Vol. 5, (Sept-Dec. 2004), at 1.
ACCESO believes that a strong banking sector with firm rules,
strong watchdog regulators, and consistent law enforcement,
will all lead to more sustainable economic growth and foreign
investment. Most importantly, banks must provide credit
to new customers, work with the citizenry to invest in their
own futures, and educate the general public about the importance
of financial propriety, responsibility and the benefits
of the marketplace.
ACCESO EdFin (educación Financiera)
It is clear that the people of Latin America need more innovative
and appropriate financial education. Whether they are recent
immigrants to the United States or living in their homelands,
they must learn what kinds of credit are available from
financial institutions and how to be good consumers of financial
instruments. By creating better credit facilities, there
can be more investment. Sustainable economic growth will
result with better flow of capital, trust between banks
and their customers, and more secure transactions ensured.
Some leading international banks are now moving into Latin
America to help create better credit facilities (i.e. they
are loaning money out for longer term to higher risk customers).
The consumer needs to learn how to best manage this new
vehicle for economic growth and invest in their own futures.
But banks and financial institutions need to use the language,
idiom, and images of the people they are trying to help.
With edFin, citizens from all around the Western Hemisphere
will:
- learn how to manage and save money
- learn how to use credit to improve their lives
- learn how to invest in their families
- contribute to the sustainable development of their countries
- realize the right of self-determination
ACCESOs
edFin program is currently in development and will be rolled
out in 2005 and 2006 after being piloted in selected sites
around Latin America.
It is no secret that customers, and those citizens who have
not yet established relationships with financial institutions,
do not trust banks. Economic crises, banking scandals, and
the freezing of deposits have not helped much. It is time
to reverse that trend in order to build a better economy,
both micro and macro, in the region.
For more information about edFin, please contact
[email protected].
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